Commodities and the Global Macro Trader
While most people think of commodity traders as just a bunch of guys in Chicago the truth is that many different types of investors participate in the commodity markets. Obviously we have floor traders but we also have several types of upstairs traders.
One of the main types of upstairs traders in the commodity markets are the CTA or commodity trading advisors. They typically do a lot of long term trend following. The second major commodity trader is the global macro trader.
Some global macro traders are always involved in the commodity markets while others don't actually do a ton of trading. But one thing that all global macro funds do is track and forecast commodity prices. This is so that they have a better grip on raw materials cost as well as where on earth are things growing fast and slow. It basically gives a great picture of the macroeconomic landscape.
For instance if oil is rising like we saw in 2008 then you have to look to see what businesses are going to get hurt and what will benefit from higher oil prices. Obviously oil companies will make more money but what about shorting airlines? Or maybe even going long railroad companies. As you can tell there are endless ideas of who is affected and who is not.
Precious metals are another area of great concern. Long looked as a fantastic inflation gauge gold and silver are also looked upon more and more as alternative currencies since most fiat currencies are looking like junk these days. As you can see precious metals are very useful to key in on currencies and inflation.
After the shiny stuff we have the industrial metals. Things like copper, nickel, tin, iron, aluminum, zinc, and lead are all in this group. Cars, trucks, phones, computers, etc all have large amounts of industrial metals and are vital to the worlds economy. If you are not tracking industrial metals then you are missing out on one of the largest parts of the commodity complex and a vital part of the economy.
Next up are the agricultural commodities. While some gloss over this section they are actually a huge part of the economy. Do you eat food? Do you drink water? If you answer was yes to either of these questions then you need to pay attention to the ags. If you answered no then call the hospital please. Anyways the ags are important and can be traded based off of the demographics of different nations. Emerging markets are rapidly emerging which is changing the entire supply demand situation of food and water. Monitor and profit from this, or stay ignorant and get unpleasantly surprised.
As you can see commodities can be a very useful and profitable asset class. With several sub sectors as well as the fact that most commodities are so universal that they only trade in one currency and it should be obvious that you need to track if not trade commodities. - 23229
One of the main types of upstairs traders in the commodity markets are the CTA or commodity trading advisors. They typically do a lot of long term trend following. The second major commodity trader is the global macro trader.
Some global macro traders are always involved in the commodity markets while others don't actually do a ton of trading. But one thing that all global macro funds do is track and forecast commodity prices. This is so that they have a better grip on raw materials cost as well as where on earth are things growing fast and slow. It basically gives a great picture of the macroeconomic landscape.
For instance if oil is rising like we saw in 2008 then you have to look to see what businesses are going to get hurt and what will benefit from higher oil prices. Obviously oil companies will make more money but what about shorting airlines? Or maybe even going long railroad companies. As you can tell there are endless ideas of who is affected and who is not.
Precious metals are another area of great concern. Long looked as a fantastic inflation gauge gold and silver are also looked upon more and more as alternative currencies since most fiat currencies are looking like junk these days. As you can see precious metals are very useful to key in on currencies and inflation.
After the shiny stuff we have the industrial metals. Things like copper, nickel, tin, iron, aluminum, zinc, and lead are all in this group. Cars, trucks, phones, computers, etc all have large amounts of industrial metals and are vital to the worlds economy. If you are not tracking industrial metals then you are missing out on one of the largest parts of the commodity complex and a vital part of the economy.
Next up are the agricultural commodities. While some gloss over this section they are actually a huge part of the economy. Do you eat food? Do you drink water? If you answer was yes to either of these questions then you need to pay attention to the ags. If you answered no then call the hospital please. Anyways the ags are important and can be traded based off of the demographics of different nations. Emerging markets are rapidly emerging which is changing the entire supply demand situation of food and water. Monitor and profit from this, or stay ignorant and get unpleasantly surprised.
As you can see commodities can be a very useful and profitable asset class. With several sub sectors as well as the fact that most commodities are so universal that they only trade in one currency and it should be obvious that you need to track if not trade commodities. - 23229
About the Author:
If you need actionable trading ideas then check out The Macro Trader It is a weekly global macro investing advisory publication with frequent intra-week updates for time-critical analysis and actionable trading ideas.
posted by X - Men @ 4:03 AM
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