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Sunday, October 25, 2009

Discover Sugar Commodity Trading, Follow Sugar Commodity Prices

By Marianna Gomes

With global agricultural prices looking set for long term increases, sugar commodity trading offers the trader or investor keen for exposure to commodities as an asset class some great opportunities. Just consider in 1974 sugar prices spiked over 60 cents a pound and in 1981 by over 40 cents a pound as the 1970's commodity bull market ended. And in 2009 commodities in general and sugar commodity prices in particular are advancing strongly again. The serious 2008 world economic slowdown is now giving way to strong recovering markets and sugar commodity prices are at their highest for 28 years.

There are numerous cases of serious sugar shortages as desperate consumers across Asia queue for small quantities of this key commodity. To think that while in 2007 India was a major exporter of sugar, with a surplus of five million tons, but from 2009 the country is a net importer. So what has caused this serious imbalance between world sugar demand and supply? After the shock of the global economic crisis, the US dollar is falling against other currencies and hopes of a strong rebound are causing real asset prices to be driven higher. Add in the weak monsoon season in India and very unhelpful weather for sugar plantations in Brazil, impacting adversely on sugar yields, and the result is raw sugar prices heading for a high of 25 cents a pound.

Firstly, as you embark on your sugar commodity trading journey, discover where sugar comes from, and see how a recent development in alternative fuels poses a challenge to global sugar commodity markets in future. With sugar produced in over 100 countries, largely from the tropical and sub-tropical areas of the southern hemisphere, around 75-80% comes from sugarcane. A key factor for successful crop yields is plentiful rainfall, and the annual optimum is around 600 mm. Sugar prices on world commodity exchanges can also be driven higher by crop infestation as a result of attacks by pests.

Leading the pack of top producing nations is Brazil, also the largest global exporter, followed by India, China, the EU, USA and Australia. A major distorting factor in world sugar markets is subsidy regimes in the US and Europe, as they artificially drive prices higher than the world sugar price. In addition to its traditional uses in bread fermentation and in fruit and vegetable products, sugar is now increasingly used as a source of ethanol fuel.

Balance between supply was quite tight in 2007 and seems almost certain to remain or worsen as demand is projected to grow in developing Asian nations, particularly the BRIC nations like China and India. India is the largest consumer in the world and it is growing its use of sugar for ethanol as an alternative fuel. China is the world's third largest consumer and producer, with its per capita sugar consumption increasing from a very low base of around 7kg per annum (US per capita consumption of 45kg per annum).

Brazil is the largest world producer and understanding this market will help your sugar commodity trading strategy. Brazil aims to avoid a sugar glut by using the potential excess sugarcane crop to produce ethanol for biodiesel, an alternative to petroleum-derived gasoline. Growing use of sugar to produce ethanol has arisen alongside increases in crude oil prices and a surge in demand for sugar in China. With high crude oil prices likely in the future coupled with growing demand, producers face huge challenges to avoid higher sugar prices.

Confident in the tips from your professional financial adviser and your chosen commodity trading system, with good internet access you can trade from almost anywhere in the world. The most heavily traded sugar futures contract globally is #11 Raw sugar futures, available on the ICE US Futures platform as is the #16 Sugar futures contract. You could also try LIFFE CONNECT, the trading platform of LIFFE, part of the NYSE Euronext Group, to trade raw sugar futures. If taking a leveraged position concerns you, why not look at a soft commodity index using an ETF. Growing sugar consumption in the BRIC economies along with rising demand for bio ethanol suggests prospects for sugar prices and sugar commodity trading look very exciting going forward. - 23229

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