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Tuesday, October 6, 2009

US Dollar (Part II)

By Ahmad Hassam

Role of monetary and fiscal policy in strengthening or weakening the US Dollar or that matter any other currency is important. The Federal Reserve Board (FED) is responsible for making the monetary policy of United States. Through its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), FED sets and implements the monetary policy. The voting members of FOMC are the seven governors of FED plus five presidents of the district reserve banks. Eight meeting of FOMC are held every year. These meetings are widely watched by the analyst for interest rate announcements and changes in growth expectations.

FED has a high degree of independence in setting the monetary policy. FED has the mandate for long run price stability and sustainable economic growth. FED uses the monetary policy to control inflation, unemployment and balanced growth. The most important tool used by FED is its Open Market Operations.

Open market operations involve FEDs sale or purchase of government securities that includes treasury bills, notes and bonds. In increase in FEDs purchases lowers the interest rates while selling of these securities raises the interest rate.

Federal Fund Rate is the key policy target of the FED. It is the interest rate at which the banks lend overnight to one another in the overnight interbank market. The primary interest rate that is affected by these operations is the Federal Fund Rate. The market then adjusts the other short term and long term interest rates accordingly. FED does not directly sets the Federal Fund Rate. It establishes a target rate through the open market operations.

The other main pillar of economic policy is the fiscal policy. Who controls the fiscal policy? The governments in almost all the countries! Fiscal policy means the amount of taxes and government spending for a given year. The US fiscal policy is in the control of US Treasury. In fact it is the US Treasury that actually determines the US Dollar policy.

You should always try to watch the US Treasury views as changes to that view is very important for the currency markets. For example, US Treasury can give instructions to the New York Federal Reserve Board to intervene in the forex markets by actually buying or selling US Dollars if the US Treasury feels that the US Dollar is under or overvalued.

The heavily traded currency pairs in the global currency markets are EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD and USD/CHF. These currency pairs represent the most frequently traded currency pairs in the global markets. So the most important economic data for the global currency markets is the US Dollar fundamentals. Over 90% of all currency deals involve the US Dollar. As you can see, all these currency pairs involve US Dollar on either side of the pair.

There is an almost perfect negative correlation between the US Dollar and the gold prices. The US Dollar moves in opposite direction to the gold. This inverse relationship stems from the fact that gold is measure in US Dollars.

When US Dollar depreciates due to global economic uncertainty like the present, gold appreciates. Gold is commonly viewed as the ultimate safe haven commodity by the investors all over the globe. You must know that the gold prices are going up right now. - 23229

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The Secrets to Locking In Profits for Option Traders

By Morris Puma

Today, I had an interesting conversation with an option trader who is still searching for the magic formula to making consistent returns with option trading. He said many things which were so familiar to me.

One thing that stood out was when he said "Non-directional option trading doesn't mean we can make money in any direction. It means that we make money if the underlying doesn't move in any direction. In other words, it's still a directional trade, sideways." This is correct, and most people advertise that it's easy to make money with options because we can make money on any direction. This is true in some respects and not true in others.

Investors using Condors as their main strategy understand what I am saying here; especially if you are investing in the Iron Condors which most schools and written materials preach. If you are investing with this option spread this year, you most probably aren't earning much. This is because that the Iron Condor is just as directional as the other option spreads only that it's direction is sideways. To most, it's just as difficult to forecast a non-move in the market as it is to forecast market that will be moving.

Over the last few months I have had many phone calls from option traders losing most of their trading capital with Condors and Credit spreads. They all have said one thing in common: "I was making great returns at first, and then one day, I lost most of my money." I've heard this tale many a time.

This is the reason why I don't push the popular Iron Condors, Bear Calls or Bull Puts. If you are a couple days from expiration, and the RUT is really near the sold strike, then at that moment you are in a very risky position. I'll remind you that this is the same risky method that many other investors are using to manage this option spread. Shortly all of your friends will be hearing the same story, but you won't be sharing this news with your wife! You smile at the moment, but you won't be if it happens to your trading portfolio. Another sad thing about this investng style is that the fear level is so astronomical that it really hurts your personal life. It makes it tough to sleep or even just relax each day.

Anyway, to deal with this problem San Jose Options Mentoring has redesigned Iron Condors and Credit Spreads. We have a different technique which gives the underlying much more wiggle room, lowering our stress level and keeping us out of dangerous situations. Remember, the less you have to adjust your condor, the better off you will be in most cases.

Besides teaching a safer way to trade Condors, we've also developed techniques to lock-in our profits on them. Most option traders exit their trades when they make a profit, but we can lock-in our profits and stay in the trade.

Also, when we do have a trade go against us, well, we have ways to get a free trade from it. This is another important technique that we teach to our students. While many traders exit with a loss or never exit and sustain a huge loss, we exit and get a free bonus trade that can always lead to returns at a later date.

So winner or loser, we have developed a pretty nice way to trade Iron Condors as well as many other strategies. - 23229

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The Yellow Metal Spells Profits

By Michael Swanson

In this economy, it is a good idea to try and make money wherever you can. Gold is one thing that you can invest in where in this economy is still profitable. When people end up hoarding gold, it really affect the price- the cost of gold will remain high. Because of the huge quantity of gold that is stored, the cost of gold is changing all the time. Stock trading with gold investing is a sure way to making money, eventually.

Paper money used to represent the amount of gold that you owned. Since that law was changed int he 1930's, the value of money has continued to decrease. This is because the banks were shut down when people wanted to take their gold out all at one time.

Investors buy gold because they can make money on the increasing gold prices and also it is a great thing to have in case of social or economical turmoil where paper money would be rendered useless. This seems far fetched but it is actually something that could possibly happen.

You can buy bullion or coins or you can trade through the gold exchange traded funds. You can also invest in certificates, derivatives, shares or accounts.

As the value of the dollar decreases, the cost of gold increases. This is why you need to invest today. Do not hesitate. This is very important, especially if there is an economic disaster and our dollar is worth anything. When you go online make sure that you read articles and reviews that reveal how to invest and make the most out of your money. You need to know all that you can about gold so that you can get the best profit that is possible.

It is really a good idea to start investing in gold. If anything happens socially or economically, gold will still be worth more than a dollar will. If you take these helpful tips to account, then you should be able to buy gold at a good price. - 23229

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How To Make Lots Of Money With Penny Stocks

By Shane Winson

Penny stock trading can make you a lot of money. These are low priced stocks often less than a dollar per share. The prices for these shares drop and gain a lot. The volatility is the reason for the profit potential.

Due to their volatile nature and low price, there is a lot of potential to make money trading penny stocks. There are many people that make money with this full time and there are others that trade penny stocks as a hobby.

There are systems available that claim to do the research on your part and help you in analyzing the winning trends. You should check out the reviews and study how the systems work before buying them.

There is software available that studies the trading patterns of various companies. It keeps getting more intelligent as it is used more. It makes recommendations based on its studies and the trading patterns that have been profitable in the past.

To begin trading, you need a stock broker that trades penny stocks. You can sign up with a full service broker. If you sign up with a reputed broker, you will get good tools to enable yourself to make better decisions and learn more.

There are various sources that can provide you information. There are many blogs run by experts that regularly give opinion about buying penny stocks. Many experts also run their own newsletters.

You have to be cautious about following the advice offered by various newsletters. They may not be correct every time even if they have proved profitable previously. You should study all indicators and patterns buying making a decision.

Penny stock trading can make you a lot of money if you know the facts. You can not make thousands of dollars simply by following what others say. You should know what you are doing and have sufficient knowledge about how it works. You can earn a lot of money trading penny stocks from home. - 23229

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Forex Trading Software Are Huge Money Makers If You Know How to Use It

By Bonita Johnson

The superior rated Forex trading software systems are producing very superior profits for some of there clients. While different users can't seem to make any income with them at all. Sorry to tell you, that the second you acquire your bank account does not merely begin growing immediately.

But, if you're willing to put in some effort and understand how to operate your new Forex trading system it can produce the same substantial income it does for so many others. Each of these products comes with numerous programmable choices available to the customer.

These are provided to customize the software to meet your specific investment goals. In other words, if you're willing to accept huge threat to attain high returns, the top level money trading methods can meet your requirements. Whereas, if you're a conservative individual and are extremely satisfied with little income as long as there is very little or no risk at all included in the procedure, the software can be arranged to do that also.

The critical process of getting these systems to earn bucks for you is taking your time and learning the software and how all these choices work and more particularly how they interact with each other. To do this you should first open a demo Forex account and practice until the software is generating the financial results you wish earlier than backing a real money account.

The top rated Forex trading software systems I use daily as do hundreds of thousands of others to produce profits are the following; FAP Turbo and Forex MegaDroid. If you review these websites you will discover precisely the reasons behind their success. And if they are competent to do for you what they are doing for so many others like you, then you will be much more than happy you took the time to understand how to run your new software as opposed to just jumping straight into the market head initially. - 23229

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