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Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Trading Euro Against US Dollar

By AHmad Hassam

EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the global currency markets at the moment. Trading currencies can be exciting and lucrative. Its a great market because of the way politics affect the trends. Elections, strikes, and sudden developments, both good and bad, can lead to significant trading profits if you stand ready to trade the euro is a convenient currency because it encompasses the policies and the economic activity and political environment of a volatile but predictable part of the world: Europe.

In the United States, where the free-market approach and a usually vigilant Federal Reserve make more frequent adjustments on interest rates. France, Italy, and Germany, the largest members of the European Union (EU), normally operate under high budget deficits and tend to keep their interest rates more stable.

The general tendency of the Fed is to make the dollar trend for very long periods of time in one general direction. Aside from the technical analysis, here are some general tendencies of the euro on which you need to keep tabs:

- The European Central Bank is almost fanatical about inflation, given Germanys history of hyperinflation in the first half of the 20th century and the repercussions of that period, namely the rise of Hitler. That means that the European Central Bank raises interest rates more easily than it lowers them.

2) EUR/USD pair is affected by what is happening politically and economically both in Europe and the US. The European Central Banks actions become important when all other factors are equal, meaning politics are equally stable or unstable in the United States and Europe, and the two economies are growing. For example, if the U.S. economy is slowing down, money slowly starts to drift away from the dollar. In the past that meant money would move toward the Japanese yen; however, because the market knows that Japans central bank will sell yen, the default currency when the dollar weakens is often now the euro.

3) EUR/USD currency pair is heavily influenced by the political developments in the Eurozone. Especially when the European economy is slowing The flip side is that the market becomes jittery and often sells the euro during political problems in the region.

As a word of caution, its okay to form an opinion and have some expectations, but the final and only truth that should make you trade is what the charts are showing you. As usual, you want to closely monitor major currencies and the cross rates. The direction that counts is the one in which the market is heading.

Combining fundamental analysis with the technical analysis can give you the edge as a forex trader. Fundamental analysis can help you determine the strong/weak currency pair. Use fundamental analysis to determine if USD is expected to lose value and EUR is expected to gain more strength that means that the currency pair EUR/USD is perfectly timed for swing trading. Use technical analysis to make the entry and exit decision. - 23229

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Why You Truly Ought To Buy Your First House

By Dan Westwood

Are you bored of paying someone else's mortgage, rather than your own? Then you need to buy your own home. Right now it is a purchasers market, and it has never been easier to uncover a home and acquire a mortgage.

Having your own property gives you the luxury of being able to do whatever you want. Don't like the color of the walls? Paint them. Wish to change the light fixtures? Do it.

You are able to be as loud as you wish when you own your own home. You could moreover have a pet, and other wise do all the things that one can't do when they rent. While you may not be loud yourself, you won't have to put up with noise from the tenant above you either, and finally be able to sleep in peace and quiet.

Owning your own home can be a considerable investment in time and money not only on the mortgage itself but on repairs. In spite of this when you own your own home you are building equity when you pay your mortgage every month.

In the event that you rent, you normally leave with nothing or simply a safely deposit. Even if the first home you buy isn't perfect, it is a step in the correct direction as when you decide to move away and sell your home, you will make the difference between what you owe and what the home is worth, and have a larger down payment on your next home.

Now that you know the reasons to buy a home, you ought to get pre approved for a mortgage. Go to your bank and talk to a mortgage rep. They will be able to walk you through the route.

Once you have your pre approval letter, go to a real estate agency or search online for your perfect home. - 23229

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If You're Dedicated, You Can Trade Stocks, Too

By Chad Reynolds

Have you always wanted to learn about stock and finally get some stock education? Well, you're not alone. There are lots of people out there who have always thought it may be too hard, too time consuming or too expensive to learn how to trade their own stocks.

Many people want to know if "Trading Stock for Dummies" actually exists? Believe it or not, your ability to trade stocks on your own and eventually become a professional profit trader rests in your own hands. Here are exactly the tools you need to become a real stock trader: hard work, dedication, focus and a great stock trading training program.

Many people don't succeed in stock trading simply because they are too distracted by everyday life events to fully dedicate themselves to learning the material. So the focus, hard work and dedication part is on you. But another problem is that sometimes people subscribe to a stock trading program that is over their heads. When they don't understand the terms being used, they get frustrated and then they easily give up.

You should pick a training program that genuinely cares about your success and will be there for you when you have questions or if you feel frustrated. It is extremely important to choose a profit trading training program that fits your needs and learning curve in order to make you a success story in the long run.

An excellent feature to look for is the option to join a Master Mind Training group. This will give you an opportunity to discuss trading techniques, issues and questions with other traders in your field. The group's goal is to hold everyone else in the group accountable for their stock trading goals, which will help keep you focused and motivated. The lesson here is to look for a training program that can offer extra features besides the basic training courses.

If the training center of your choice is up-to-date and current, then they can also offer you the option of podcasts, so you can study on the go, in the car, on the train or while you're between meetings or phone calls. Another great feature to look for is access to the training center's resource library. This is where they keep eBooks, special reports, past recorded seminars and webinars and much more resources that can help you on your way.

If the trading center is beneficial to experienced traders and those traders join the membership, then that gives you an excellent opportunity to converse with professionals who are already in the field. The name of the game is to make contacts and network. While you're choosing the best training center for you, also keep in mind that it is best to choose a center that offers materials and services for the beginner traders, as well as the experienced trader.

All it takes is hard work, dedication and focus. All of this can be accomplished with a great stock trading training center and you'll be trading stocks before you know it. Once you've done some research, you will see that becoming a profit trader is not out of your reach. - 23229

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Forex Margin Call Explained

By Ahmad Hassam

Have you ever received the dreaded forex margin call? But contrary to the popular opinion that a margin call represents that worst case scenario for the currency trader, this is far from the truth. The risk that is assumed when trading aggressively the currency markets often results in receiving a margin call. The worst case could be far worse.

To owe additional funds to the broker is actually the worse case scenario. A margin call is in fact a safeguard to protect a trader from losing 100% or even more of the money in the trading account. This uncomfortable position is largely avoided because of the existence of the margin call.

You will receive an actual call from your stock broker to add more funds to your margin account when equity is running low in your stock trading account. Unlike the world of stock trading, a margin call is not actually a physical call from your broker in forex trading.

In forex trading when the trader no longer has enough equity in the trading account to keep the open positions viable, the trading platform software automatically closes out all the open positions and immediately realizes all losses at the prevailing market rates.

Prices can move extremely fast in forex markets and because of the high leverage used, every price move is magnified. There are good reasons for automated margin calls in forex trading, although this may seem a bit cold hearted.

The forex margin call closes all open positions to help ensure that the trader does not lose the entire account or worse as a safeguard measure. The trading account can become depleted very quickly with not enough time to call for more funds when the traders equity runs low in forex trading.

For example, you have $1500 in your trading account. You use a leverage of 100:1 to trade in standard lots of $100,000. So exactly when is a margin call triggered? This depends exactly on the number and the size of the lots being traded, the leverage chosen and the equity in the account.

You want to trade one lot of EUR/USD. Since your account is in US Dollars, you need to convert it into Euros. Suppose the EUR/USD exchange rate is 1.3465. So you need $1346 to trade standard lot Euros 100,000 of EUR/USD. This is because Euros 1000 are needed to control Euros 100,000.

Suppose you are very new and dont know about stop losses, you start trading without putting stop losses in place. Your trading account has $1500. The margin required to keep the trade open is $1346. Each pip is exactly equal to $10 in this case.

There are no stop losses in place. The chances are you are going to receive a margin call soon. When can you expect to receive a margin call? You will receive a margin call when your equity drops below $1346. You have $1500 equity in your trading account. Your open position will be automatically closed when you receive a margin call. That means once you lose the excess equity in your account above the margin required to trade a standard lot that is $1500-$1346= $154. Assuming that there are no spreads involved. This is equal to just 15.4 pips loss. This example will make it clear the fast moving nature of the forex market and how using high leverage can suddenly result in getting a margin call. - 23229

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British Pound Profile (Part II)

By Ahmad Hassam

Despite the independence of the Bank of England (BOE), its monetary policy is dictated by the inflation target set by the Treasury Chancellor. BOE has the power to change interest rates to levels that it believes will allow it to meet this target.

You must have heard about George Soros who is famously known as the, Man who had broken the Bank of England. How did he form his opinion about the inability of Great Britain to say within the EMU in the early part of 1990s? By watching the policy statements of MPC! MPC meetings are held on a monthly basis and are closely followed by changes in the monetary policy including changes in the interest rates. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meetings are closely followed by the professional forex traders all over the world as GBP is a highly popular currency among the traders.

MPC issues statements after each meeting. A Quarterly Inflation Report detailing the MPCs forecasts for the next two years of growth and inflation and its justification for its policy movements is also published.

BOE issues a number of more reports that are frequently used by market analyst to form their bias about GBP. The Quarterly Bulletin is another publication. It provides information for the past monetary policy movements and analysis of international economic scene and its impact on the British economy. All of these reports are highly informative for professional forex traders who trade GBP heavily.

Bank repo rate is the key rate used in the monetary policy to achieve the Treasurys target inflation rate. The main policy tools used by MPC and BOE are the Bank Repo Rate and the Open Market Operations.

Bank repo rate is the short term interest rate that eventually sets in motions changes in the other short term and long term interest rates in the market. However, there is always a time lag between the policy announcement and the anticipated change in the market interest rates. It maybe a few months to a year! Changes to the bank repo rate affect the commercial banks interest rates for its savers and borrowers. Bank repo rate is set by the BOE for its own operations in the market such as the short term lending activities.

When the economy is overheating, the central bank tries to cool it down by increasing the interest rte. An increase in the Bank Repo Rate means BOE wants to curb the inflation. A When the economy slumps into a recession just like what has happened currently, the central banks will try to lower interest rates to promote more economic activity so that the economy starts expanding again. Decrease in the interest rate would be to stimulate growth and expansion. Changes in the bank repo rate changes the commercial interest rates. In turn these commercial interest rates will affect spending and output in the economy and eventually the costs and prices.

Open market operations means buying or selling of government securities in the open market. Open market operations are done by the BOE to achieve its targeted bank rep rate. While assuring adequate liquidity in the market and continued stability in the banking system, the goal of the open market operations is to implement the changes in the bank repo rate.

Both the bank repo rate and the open market operations are used by the BOE to achieve its broad monetary policy objective. The three main objective of the BOE are to maintain the stability of the financial system, maintain the integrity and value of GBP and seeking to ensure the effectiveness of the UK financial services.

The United Kingdom is a pivotal nation because it bridges the economical, geographical, and ideological divide between the United States and Europe. The monetary policy objectives are met primarily through the open market operations. In order to ensure liquidity in the economy, BOE daily conducts open market operations to buy or sell short term fixed income government instruments. BOE can conduct additional overnight operations as well if this is not sufficient to meet the liquidity needs.

The GBP can be affected more directly by oil prices than other currencies as the United Kingdom is an oil producer. The relationship between oil and the pound is fading, however, because production in the United Kingdoms North Sea oil fields is steadily decreasing. - 23229

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